Prediction and projection of heatwaves

DIV Domeisen, EAB Eltahir, EM Fischer… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2023 - nature.com
Heatwaves constitute a major threat to human health and ecosystems. Projected increases
in heatwave frequency and severity thus lead to the need for prediction to enhance …

A low-to-no snow future and its impacts on water resources in the western United States

ER Siirila-Woodburn, AM Rhoades… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2021 - nature.com
Anthropogenic climate change is decreasing seasonal snowpacks globally, with potentially
catastrophic consequences on water resources, given the long-held reliance on snowpack …

Increasing precipitation volatility in twenty-first-century California

DL Swain, B Langenbrunner, JD Neelin… - Nature Climate Change, 2018 - nature.com
Mediterranean climate regimes are particularly susceptible to rapid shifts between drought
and flood—of which, California's rapid transition from record multi-year dryness between …

Anthropogenic warming has increased drought risk in California

NS Diffenbaugh, DL Swain… - Proceedings of the …, 2015 - National Acad Sciences
California is currently in the midst of a record-setting drought. The drought began in 2012
and now includes the lowest calendar-year and 12-mo precipitation, the highest annual …

Contribution of anthropogenic warming to California drought during 2012–2014

AP Williams, R Seager, JT Abatzoglou… - Geophysical …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
A suite of climate data sets and multiple representations of atmospheric moisture demand
are used to calculate many estimates of the self‐calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index, a …

Precipitation in a warming world: Assessing projected hydro-climate changes in California and other Mediterranean climate regions

SD Polade, A Gershunov, DR Cayan, MD Dettinger… - Scientific reports, 2017 - nature.com
Abstract In most Mediterranean climate (MedClim) regions around the world, global climate
models (GCMs) consistently project drier futures. In California, however, projections of …

Precipitation regime change in Western North America: the role of atmospheric rivers

A Gershunov, T Shulgina, RES Clemesha, K Guirguis… - Scientific reports, 2019 - nature.com
Daily precipitation in California has been projected to become less frequent even as
precipitation extremes intensify, leading to uncertainty in the overall response to climate …

Unprecedented 21st century drought risk in the American Southwest and Central Plains

BI Cook, TR Ault, JE Smerdon - Science Advances, 2015 - science.org
In the Southwest and Central Plains of Western North America, climate change is expected
to increase drought severity in the coming decades. These regions nevertheless …

Causes of the 2011–14 California drought

R Seager, M Hoerling, S Schubert, H Wang… - Journal of …, 2015 - journals.ametsoc.org
The causes of the California drought during November–April winters of 2011/12–2013/14
are analyzed using observations and ensemble simulations with seven atmosphere models …

Future precipitation increase from very high resolution ensemble downscaling of extreme atmospheric river storms in California

X Huang, DL Swain, AD Hall - Science advances, 2020 - science.org
Precipitation extremes will likely intensify under climate change. However, much uncertainty
surrounds intensification of high-magnitude events that are often inadequately resolved by …