Prediction and projection of heatwaves
Heatwaves constitute a major threat to human health and ecosystems. Projected increases
in heatwave frequency and severity thus lead to the need for prediction to enhance …
in heatwave frequency and severity thus lead to the need for prediction to enhance …
A low-to-no snow future and its impacts on water resources in the western United States
Anthropogenic climate change is decreasing seasonal snowpacks globally, with potentially
catastrophic consequences on water resources, given the long-held reliance on snowpack …
catastrophic consequences on water resources, given the long-held reliance on snowpack …
Increasing precipitation volatility in twenty-first-century California
Mediterranean climate regimes are particularly susceptible to rapid shifts between drought
and flood—of which, California's rapid transition from record multi-year dryness between …
and flood—of which, California's rapid transition from record multi-year dryness between …
Anthropogenic warming has increased drought risk in California
California is currently in the midst of a record-setting drought. The drought began in 2012
and now includes the lowest calendar-year and 12-mo precipitation, the highest annual …
and now includes the lowest calendar-year and 12-mo precipitation, the highest annual …
Contribution of anthropogenic warming to California drought during 2012–2014
A suite of climate data sets and multiple representations of atmospheric moisture demand
are used to calculate many estimates of the self‐calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index, a …
are used to calculate many estimates of the self‐calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index, a …
Precipitation in a warming world: Assessing projected hydro-climate changes in California and other Mediterranean climate regions
Abstract In most Mediterranean climate (MedClim) regions around the world, global climate
models (GCMs) consistently project drier futures. In California, however, projections of …
models (GCMs) consistently project drier futures. In California, however, projections of …
Precipitation regime change in Western North America: the role of atmospheric rivers
Daily precipitation in California has been projected to become less frequent even as
precipitation extremes intensify, leading to uncertainty in the overall response to climate …
precipitation extremes intensify, leading to uncertainty in the overall response to climate …
Unprecedented 21st century drought risk in the American Southwest and Central Plains
In the Southwest and Central Plains of Western North America, climate change is expected
to increase drought severity in the coming decades. These regions nevertheless …
to increase drought severity in the coming decades. These regions nevertheless …
Causes of the 2011–14 California drought
The causes of the California drought during November–April winters of 2011/12–2013/14
are analyzed using observations and ensemble simulations with seven atmosphere models …
are analyzed using observations and ensemble simulations with seven atmosphere models …
Future precipitation increase from very high resolution ensemble downscaling of extreme atmospheric river storms in California
Precipitation extremes will likely intensify under climate change. However, much uncertainty
surrounds intensification of high-magnitude events that are often inadequately resolved by …
surrounds intensification of high-magnitude events that are often inadequately resolved by …