A signal-to-noise paradox in climate science
We review the growing evidence for a widespread inconsistency between the low strength of
predictable signals in climate models and the relatively high level of agreement they exhibit …
predictable signals in climate models and the relatively high level of agreement they exhibit …
Stratospheric influence on tropospheric jet streams, storm tracks and surface weather
A powerful influence on the weather that we experience on the ground can be exerted by the
stratosphere. This highly stratified layer of Earth's atmosphere is found 10 to 50 kilometres …
stratosphere. This highly stratified layer of Earth's atmosphere is found 10 to 50 kilometres …
Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply
Quantifying signals and uncertainties in climate models is essential for the detection,
attribution, prediction and projection of climate change,–. Although inter-model agreement is …
attribution, prediction and projection of climate change,–. Although inter-model agreement is …
[HTML][HTML] The Community Earth System Model (CESM) large ensemble project: A community resource for studying climate change in the presence of internal climate …
While internal climate variability is known to affect climate projections, its influence is often
underappreciated and confused with model error. Why? In general, modeling centers …
underappreciated and confused with model error. Why? In general, modeling centers …
Near-term climate change: projections and predictability
This chapter assesses the scientific literature describing expectations for near-term climate
(present through mid-century). Unless otherwise stated," near-term" change and the …
(present through mid-century). Unless otherwise stated," near-term" change and the …
The decadal climate prediction project (DCPP) contribution to CMIP6
GJ Boer, DM Smith, C Cassou… - Geoscientific Model …, 2016 - gmd.copernicus.org
The Decadal Climate Prediction Project (DCPP) is a coordinated multi-model investigation
into decadal climate prediction, predictability, and variability. The DCPP makes use of past …
into decadal climate prediction, predictability, and variability. The DCPP makes use of past …
[HTML][HTML] Decadal climate prediction: an update from the trenches
Barsugli, J., C. Anderson, JB Smith, and JM Vogel, 2009: Options for improving climate
modeling to assist water utility planning for climate change. Western Utilities Climate …
modeling to assist water utility planning for climate change. Western Utilities Climate …
[HTML][HTML] On the seasonal forecasting of regional tropical cyclone activity
On the Seasonal Forecasting of Regional Tropical Cyclone Activity in: Journal of Climate
Volume 27 Issue 21 (2014) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation Logo Logo Logo Logo …
Volume 27 Issue 21 (2014) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation Logo Logo Logo Logo …
Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change
Regional information on climate change is urgently needed but often deemed unreliable. To
achieve credible regional climate projections, it is essential to understand underlying …
achieve credible regional climate projections, it is essential to understand underlying …