A dynamic ensemble approach for multi-step price prediction: Empirical evidence from crude oil and ship** market

J Hao, J Yuan, D Wu, W Xu, J Li - Expert Systems with Applications, 2023 - Elsevier
Price forecasting is critical for business management decision making and planning.
However, accurate price predicting faces daunting challenges due to data drift and …

FuNVol: multi-asset implied volatility market simulator using functional principal components and neural SDEs

V Choudhary, S Jaimungal, M Bergeron - Quantitative Finance, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
We introduce a new approach for generating sequences of implied volatility (IV) surfaces
across multiple assets that are faithful to historical prices. We do so using a combination of …

Multi-population modelling and forecasting life-table death counts

HL Shang, S Haberman, R Xu - Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
When modelling the age distribution of death counts for multiple populations, we should
consider three features:(1) how to incorporate any possible correlation among multiple …

Implied volatility is (almost) past-dependent: Linear vs non-linear models

C Wen, J Zhai, Y Wang, Y Cao - International Review of Financial Analysis, 2024 - Elsevier
We explore and demonstrate a clear pattern of past-dependence in predicting implied
volatility, which extends up to twenty days and is present in both linear and nonlinear …

A journey from univariate to multivariate functional time series: A comprehensive review

H Haghbin, M Maadooliat - Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Functional time series (FTS) analysis has emerged as a potent framework for modeling and
forecasting time‐dependent data with functional attributes. In this comprehensive review, we …

Generalized functional dynamic principal component analysis

TH Khoo, IM Dabo, D Pathmanathan… - arxiv preprint arxiv …, 2024 - arxiv.org
In this paper, we explore dimension reduction for time series of functional data within both
stationary and non-stationary frameworks. We introduce a functional framework of …

Forecasting Australian fertility by age, region, and birthplace

Y Yang, HL Shang, J Raymer - International Journal of Forecasting, 2024 - Elsevier
Fertility differentials by urban–rural residence and nativity of women in Australia significantly
impact population composition at sub-national levels. We aim to provide consistent fertility …

A novel data-driven model for explainable hog price forecasting

B Wu, H Zeng, H Hu, L Wang - Applied Intelligence, 2025 - Springer
Forecasting hog prices is an important and challenging task for pig producers and managers
as it plays a crucial role in decision-making processes. Given the significant impact of raw …

Forecasting density-valued functional panel data

CF Jiménez-Varón, Y Sun, HL Shang - arxiv preprint arxiv:2403.13340, 2024 - arxiv.org
We introduce a statistical method for modeling and forecasting functional panel data, where
each element is a density. Density functions are nonnegative and have a constrained …

Is the age pension in Australia sustainable and fair? Evidence from forecasting the old-age dependency ratio using the Hamilton-Perry model

S Chen, HL Shang, Y Yang - Journal of Population Research, 2025 - Springer
The age pension aims to assist eligible elderly Australians who meet specific age and
residency criteria in maintaining basic living standards. In designing efficient pension …