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A dynamic ensemble approach for multi-step price prediction: Empirical evidence from crude oil and ship** market
J Hao, J Yuan, D Wu, W Xu, J Li - Expert Systems with Applications, 2023 - Elsevier
Price forecasting is critical for business management decision making and planning.
However, accurate price predicting faces daunting challenges due to data drift and …
However, accurate price predicting faces daunting challenges due to data drift and …
FuNVol: multi-asset implied volatility market simulator using functional principal components and neural SDEs
We introduce a new approach for generating sequences of implied volatility (IV) surfaces
across multiple assets that are faithful to historical prices. We do so using a combination of …
across multiple assets that are faithful to historical prices. We do so using a combination of …
Multi-population modelling and forecasting life-table death counts
When modelling the age distribution of death counts for multiple populations, we should
consider three features:(1) how to incorporate any possible correlation among multiple …
consider three features:(1) how to incorporate any possible correlation among multiple …
Implied volatility is (almost) past-dependent: Linear vs non-linear models
We explore and demonstrate a clear pattern of past-dependence in predicting implied
volatility, which extends up to twenty days and is present in both linear and nonlinear …
volatility, which extends up to twenty days and is present in both linear and nonlinear …
A journey from univariate to multivariate functional time series: A comprehensive review
Functional time series (FTS) analysis has emerged as a potent framework for modeling and
forecasting time‐dependent data with functional attributes. In this comprehensive review, we …
forecasting time‐dependent data with functional attributes. In this comprehensive review, we …
Generalized functional dynamic principal component analysis
TH Khoo, IM Dabo, D Pathmanathan… - arxiv preprint arxiv …, 2024 - arxiv.org
In this paper, we explore dimension reduction for time series of functional data within both
stationary and non-stationary frameworks. We introduce a functional framework of …
stationary and non-stationary frameworks. We introduce a functional framework of …
Forecasting Australian fertility by age, region, and birthplace
Fertility differentials by urban–rural residence and nativity of women in Australia significantly
impact population composition at sub-national levels. We aim to provide consistent fertility …
impact population composition at sub-national levels. We aim to provide consistent fertility …
A novel data-driven model for explainable hog price forecasting
Forecasting hog prices is an important and challenging task for pig producers and managers
as it plays a crucial role in decision-making processes. Given the significant impact of raw …
as it plays a crucial role in decision-making processes. Given the significant impact of raw …
Forecasting density-valued functional panel data
We introduce a statistical method for modeling and forecasting functional panel data, where
each element is a density. Density functions are nonnegative and have a constrained …
each element is a density. Density functions are nonnegative and have a constrained …
Is the age pension in Australia sustainable and fair? Evidence from forecasting the old-age dependency ratio using the Hamilton-Perry model
The age pension aims to assist eligible elderly Australians who meet specific age and
residency criteria in maintaining basic living standards. In designing efficient pension …
residency criteria in maintaining basic living standards. In designing efficient pension …