[HTML][HTML] Electricity price forecasting: A review of the state-of-the-art with a look into the future

R Weron - International journal of forecasting, 2014 - Elsevier
A variety of methods and ideas have been tried for electricity price forecasting (EPF) over the
last 15 years, with varying degrees of success. This review article aims to explain the …

[BUCH][B] Stochastic modelling of electricity and related markets

FE Benth, JS Benth, S Koekebakker - 2008 - books.google.com
The markets for electricity, gas and temperature have distinctive features, which provide the
focus for countless studies. For instance, electricity and gas prices may soar several …

The case of negative day-ahead electricity prices

E Fanone, A Gamba, M Prokopczuk - Energy economics, 2013 - Elsevier
In recent years, Germany has significantly increased its share of electricity produced from
renewable sources, which is mainly due to the Renewable Energy Act (EEG). The EEG …

Agrivoltaics and weather risk: A diversification strategy for landowners

RI Cuppari, CW Higgins, GW Characklis - Applied Energy, 2021 - Elsevier
Farms are facing increasing pressure from shrinking margins, extreme weather, and
increased competition for land use, including from energy producers. There is evidence to …

Stochastic modeling of financial electricity contracts

FE Benth, S Koekebakker - Energy Economics, 2008 - Elsevier
We discuss the modeling of electricity contracts traded in many deregulated power markets.
These forward/futures type contracts deliver (either physically or financially) electricity over a …

Market price of risk implied by Asian-style electricity options and futures

R Weron - Energy Economics, 2008 - Elsevier
In this paper we propose a jump-diffusion type model which recovers the main
characteristics of electricity spot price dynamics in the Nordic market, including seasonality …

Pricing forward contracts in power markets by the certainty equivalence principle: Explaining the sign of the market risk premium

FE Benth, Á Cartea, R Kiesel - Journal of banking & finance, 2008 - Elsevier
In this paper we provide a framework that explains how the market risk premium, defined as
the difference between forward prices and spot forecasts, depends on the risk preferences of …

Managing wind‐based electricity generation in the presence of storage and transmission capacity

Y Zhou, A Scheller‐Wolf… - Production and …, 2019 - journals.sagepub.com
We investigate the management of a merchant wind energy farm co‐located with a grid‐
level storage facility and connected to a market through a transmission line. We formulate …

Modelling energy spot prices by volatility modulated Lévy-driven Volterra processes

OE Barndorff-Nielsen, FE Benth, AED Veraart - 2013 - projecteuclid.org
This paper introduces the class of volatility modulated Lévy-driven Volterra (VMLV)
processes and their important subclass of Lévy semistationary (LSS) processes as a new …

A survey of commodity markets and structural models for electricity prices

R Carmona, M Coulon - … energy finance: modeling, pricing, and hedging …, 2013 - Springer
The goal of this survey is to review the major idiosyncrasies of the commodity markets and
the methods which have been proposed to handle them in spot and forward price models …