Recent wildfire outbreaks around the world have prompted concern that climate change is
increasing fire incidence, threatening human livelihood and biodiversity, and perpetuating …

Abstract Initialized Earth System predictions are made by starting a numerical prediction
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …

This book introduces the key stages of niche-based habitat suitability model building,
evaluation and prediction required for understanding and predicting future patterns of …

BACKGROUND Earth system models (ESMs) simulate physical, chemical, and biological
processes that underlie climate and are the most complex in a hierarchy of models of Earth's …

Multidecadal surface temperature changes may be forced by natural as well as
anthropogenic factors, or arise unforced from the climate system. Distinguishing these …

Statistical downscaling and bias correction are becoming standard tools in climate impact
studies. This book provides a comprehensive reference to widely-used approaches, and …

Climate models have continued to be developed and improved since the AR4, and many
models have been extended into Earth System models by including the representation of …

Extreme events such as heat waves and cold spells, droughts, heavy rain, and storms are
particularly challenging to predict accurately due to their rarity and chaotic nature, and …

This study examines the improvement in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase Six
(CMIP6) models against the predecessor CMIP5 in simulating mean and extreme …

The Concept of Essential Climate Variables in Support of Climate Research, Applications,
and Policy in: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Volume 95 Issue 9 (2014) …