The physics of climate variability and climate change

M Ghil, V Lucarini - Reviews of Modern Physics, 2020 - APS
The climate is a forced, dissipative, nonlinear, complex, and heterogeneous system that is
out of thermodynamic equilibrium. The system exhibits natural variability on many scales of …

Climate dynamics and fluid mechanics: Natural variability and related uncertainties

M Ghil, MD Chekroun, E Simonnet - Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 2008 - Elsevier
The purpose of this review-and-research paper is twofold:(i) to review the role played in
climate dynamics by fluid-dynamical models; and (ii) to contribute to the understanding and …

Extreme events: dynamics, statistics and prediction

M Ghil, P Yiou, S Hallegatte… - Nonlinear Processes …, 2011 - npg.copernicus.org
We review work on extreme events, their causes and consequences, by a group of
European and American researchers involved in a three-year project on these topics. The …

[КНИГА][B] Mathematics and climate

H Kaper, H Engler - 2013 - SIAM
Understanding the Earth's climate system and predicting its behavior under a range of “what
if” scenarios are among the greatest challenges for science today. The stakes are high, and …

Climate models with delay differential equations

A Keane, B Krauskopf, CM Postlethwaite - Chaos: An Interdisciplinary …, 2017 - pubs.aip.org
A fundamental challenge in mathematical modelling is to find a model that embodies the
essential underlying physics of a system, while at the same time being simple enough to …

A mathematical theory of climate sensitivity or, How to deal with both anthropogenic forcing and natural variability?

M Ghil - Climate change: Multidecadal and beyond, 2016 - World Scientific
Recent estimates of climate evolution over the coming century still differ by several degrees.
This uncertainty motivates the work presented here. There are two basic approaches to …

Numerical solution of delay differential equations

LF Shampine, S Thompson - Delay Differential Equations: Recent …, 2009 - Springer
After some introductory examples, in this chapter, some of the ways in which delay
differential equations (DDEs) differ from ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are …

Effect of time-delayed feedback in a bistable system inferred by logic operation

R Gui, J Li, Y Yao, G Cheng - Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2021 - Elsevier
The effect of time delay is inferred by studying the influence of time-delayed feedback on the
signal threshold of logic input signal, which reflects the width of the bistable region. Time …

The wind-driven ocean circulation: Applying dynamical systems theory to a climate problem

M Ghil - Discrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems, 2017 - escholarship.org
The large-scale, near-surface flow of the mid-latitude oceans is dominated by the presence
of a larger, anticyclonic and a smaller, cyclonic gyre. The two gyres share the eastward …

Effective reduced models from delay differential equations: Bifurcations, tip** solution paths, and ENSO variability

MD Chekroun, H Liu - Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 2024 - Elsevier
Conceptual delay models have played a key role in the analysis and understanding of El
Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability. Based on such delay models, we propose in …