A survey of sequential Monte Carlo methods for economics and finance

D Creal - Econometric reviews, 2012 - Taylor & Francis
This article serves as an introduction and survey for economists to the field of sequential
Monte Carlo methods which are also known as particle filters. Sequential Monte Carlo …

Sequential Monte Carlo smoothing for general state space hidden Markov models

R Douc, A Garivier, E Moulines, J Olsson - 2011 - projecteuclid.org
Computing smoothing distributions, the distributions of one or more states conditional on
past, present, and future observations is a recurring problem when operating on general …

Sequential Monte Carlo smoothing with application to parameter estimation in nonlinear state space models

J Olsson, O Cappé, R Douc, E Moulines - 2008 - projecteuclid.org
This paper concerns the use of sequential Monte Carlo methods (SMC) for smoothing in
general state space models. A well-known problem when applying the standard SMC …

Stability properties of some particle filters

N Whiteley - 2013 - projecteuclid.org
Under multiplicative drift and other regularity conditions, it is established that the asymptotic
variance associated with a particle filter approximation of the prediction filter is bounded …

Asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimation in misspecified hidden Markov models

R Douc, E Moulines - 2012 - projecteuclid.org
Abstract Let (Y_k)_k∈Z be a stationary sequence on a probability space (Ω,A,P) taking
values in a standard Borel space Y. Consider the associated maximum likelihood estimator …

Tracking multiple spawning targets using Poisson multi-Bernoulli mixtures on sets of tree trajectories

ÁF García-Fernández… - IEEE Transactions on …, 2022 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
This paper proposes a Poisson multi-Bernoulli mixture (PMBM) filter on the space of sets of
tree trajectories for multiple target tracking with spawning targets. A tree trajectory contains …

Numerically stable online estimation of variance in particle filters

J Olsson, R Douc - Bernoulli, 2019 - JSTOR
This paper discusses variance estimation in sequential Monte Carlo methods, alternatively
termed particle filters. The variance estimator that we propose is a natural modification of …

Long-term stability of sequential Monte Carlo methods under verifiable conditions

R Douc, E Moulines, J Olsson - 2014 - projecteuclid.org
This paper discusses particle filtering in general hidden Markov models (HMMs) and
presents novel theoretical results on the long-term stability of bootstrap-type particle filters …

Online expectation maximization based algorithms for inference in hidden Markov models

S Le Corff, G Fort - 2013 - projecteuclid.org
Online Expectation Maximization based algorithms for inference in Hidden Markov Models
Page 1 Electronic Journal of Statistics Vol. 7 (2013) 763–792 ISSN: 1935-7524 DOI …

[HTML][HTML] Uniform time average consistency of Monte Carlo particle filters

R Van Handel - Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 2009 - Elsevier
We prove that bootstrap-type Monte Carlo particle filters approximate the optimal nonlinear
filter in a time average sense uniformly with respect to the time horizon when the signal is …