The paper analyzes existing approaches of mathematical modeling of morbidity spreading
by the example of the dynamics of influenza and ARVI. The analysis showed that the most …

In this paper we model influenza propagation in the Russian setting using a spatially explicit
model and a detailed human agent database as its input. The aim of our research is to …

In this study, we addressed the ability of a minimalistic SEIR model to satisfactorily describe
influenza outbreak dynamics in Russian settings. For that purpose, we calibrated an age …

This paper is dedicated to the application of two types of SEIR models to the influenza
outbreak peak prediction in Russian cities. The first one is a continuous SEIR model …

In the present paper, we consider a compartmental epidemic model which simulates the co-
circulation of three influenza strains, A (H1N1) pdm09, A (H3N2), and B, in a population with …

In this paper, we model influenza propagation in the Russian setting using a spatially explicit
model and a detailed human agent database as its input. The aim of the research is to …

In this research, we aimed to assess the influence of herd immunity levels on the process of
co-circulation of influenza strains in urban populations and to establish how the stochastic …

Предметом исследования является прогнозирование распространения инфекций на
основе исторических данных. Был проведен обзор научных исследований, связанных с …

In the current work we use a computational approach to analyze the association between
the anomalous drops of absolute humidity and the subsequent onset of influenza epidemics …

This paper compares the accuracy of different statistical methods for influenza peaks
prediction. The research demonstrates the performance of long short-term memory neural …