Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects

C Deser, F Lehner, KB Rodgers, T Ault… - Nature Climate …, 2020 - nature.com
Internal variability in the climate system confounds assessment of human-induced climate
change and imposes irreducible limits on the accuracy of climate change projections …

Convection‐permitting modeling with regional climate models: Latest developments and next steps

P Lucas‐Picher, D Argüeso, E Brisson… - Wiley …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Approximately 10 years ago, convection‐permitting regional climate models (CPRCMs)
emerged as a promising computationally affordable tool to produce fine resolution (1–4 km) …

Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information

JY Lee, J Marotzke, G Bala, L Cao, S Corti, JP Dunne… - 2021 - ora.ox.ac.uk
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …

Mitigation of China's carbon neutrality to global warming

L Li, Y Zhang, T Zhou, K Wang, C Wang… - Nature …, 2022 - nature.com
Projecting mitigations of carbon neutrality from individual countries in relation to future
global warming is of great importance for depicting national climate responsibility but is …

The Mediterranean climate change hotspot in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 projections

J Cos, F Doblas-Reyes, M Jury, R Marcos… - Earth System …, 2022 - esd.copernicus.org
The enhanced warming trend and precipitation decline in the Mediterranean region make it
a climate change hotspot. We compare projections of multiple Coupled Model …

[HTML][HTML] Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6

F Lehner, C Deser, N Maher, J Marotzke… - Earth System …, 2020 - esd.copernicus.org
Partitioning uncertainty in projections of future climate change into contributions from
internal variability, model response uncertainty and emissions scenarios has historically …

Recent frontiers of climate changes in East Asia at global warming of 1.5° C and 2° C

Q You, Z Jiang, X Yue, W Guo, Y Liu, J Cao… - Npj Climate and …, 2022 - nature.com
East Asia is undergoing significant climate changes and these changes are likely to grow in
the future. It is urgent to characterize both the mechanisms controlling climate and the …

[HTML][HTML] Evidence of human influence on Northern Hemisphere snow loss

AR Gottlieb, JS Mankin - Nature, 2024 - nature.com
Documenting the rate, magnitude and causes of snow loss is essential to benchmark the
pace of climate change and to manage the differential water security risks of snowpack …

Climate change and rainfall intensity–duration–frequency curves: Overview of science and guidelines for adaptation

JL Martel, FP Brissette, P Lucas-Picher… - Journal of Hydrologic …, 2021 - ascelibrary.org
One of the most important impacts of a future warmer climate is the projected increase in the
frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events. This increasing trend in extreme rainfall is …

Understanding climate change impacts on drought in China over the 21st century: a multi-model assessment from CMIP6

F Xu, Y Qu, VA Bento, H Song, J Qiu, J Qi… - npj Climate and …, 2024 - nature.com
The future state of drought in China under climate change remains uncertain. This study
investigates drought events, focusing on the region of China, using simulations from five …