Economic forecasting: Some lessons from recent research
This paper describes some recent advances and contributions to our understanding of
economic forecasting. The framework we develop helps explain the findings of forecasting …
economic forecasting. The framework we develop helps explain the findings of forecasting …
Forecasting in economics and finance
Practices used to address economic forecasting problems have undergone substantial
changes over recent years. We review how such changes have influenced the ways in …
changes over recent years. We review how such changes have influenced the ways in …
Forecasting with panel data
BH Baltagi - Journal of forecasting, 2008 - Wiley Online Library
This paper gives a brief survey of forecasting with panel data. It begins with a simple error
component regression model and surveys the best linear unbiased prediction under various …
component regression model and surveys the best linear unbiased prediction under various …
[BUCH][B] The social science encyclopedia
A Kuper - 2004 - taylorfrancis.com
The Social Science Encyclopedia, first published in 1985 to acclaim from social scientists,
librarians and students, was thoroughly revised in 1996, when reviewers began to describe …
librarians and students, was thoroughly revised in 1996, when reviewers began to describe …
Pooling of forecasts
We consider forecasting using a combination, when no model coincides with a non‐constant
data generation process (DGP). Practical experience suggests that combining forecasts …
data generation process (DGP). Practical experience suggests that combining forecasts …
Systematicity: The nature of science
P Hoyningen-Huene - Philosophia, 2008 - Springer
This paper addresses the question of what the nature of science is. I will first make a few
preliminary historical and systematic remarks. Next, I shall give an answer to the question …
preliminary historical and systematic remarks. Next, I shall give an answer to the question …
Biases in macroeconomic forecasts: irrationality or asymmetric loss?
Empirical studies using survey data on expectations have frequently observed that forecasts
are biased and have concluded that agents are not rational. We establish that existing …
are biased and have concluded that agents are not rational. We establish that existing …
[BUCH][B] Using trends and scenarios as tools for strategy development: sha** the future of your enterprise
U Pillkahn - 2008 - books.google.com
Is my enterprise really prepared for future business? What can I do to become more
competitive? Ulf Pillkahn's book is directed at all of those seeking answers to these …
competitive? Ulf Pillkahn's book is directed at all of those seeking answers to these …
[BUCH][B] Trends und Szenarien als Werkzeuge zur Strategieentwicklung: Der Weg in die unternehmerische Zukunft
U Pillkahn - 2008 - books.google.com
Wie gut ist mein Unternehmen auf die Zukunft vorbereitet? Wie kann es sich besser
vorbereiten und damit wettbewerbsfähiger werden? Wie man diese Fragen beantwortet …
vorbereiten und damit wettbewerbsfähiger werden? Wie man diese Fragen beantwortet …
Optimal forecast combinations under general loss functions and forecast error distributions
Existing results on the properties and performance of forecast combinations have been
derived in the context of mean squared error loss. Under this loss function empirical studies …
derived in the context of mean squared error loss. Under this loss function empirical studies …