Statistical model choice

G Claeskens - Annual review of statistics and its application, 2016 - annualreviews.org
Variable selection methods and model selection approaches are valuable statistical tools
that are indispensable for almost any statistical modeling question. This review first …

Parametric or nonparametric: The FIC approach

M Jullum, NL Hjort - Statistica Sinica, 2017 - JSTOR
Should one rely on a parametric or nonparametric model when analysing a given data set?
This classic question cannot be answered by traditional model selection criteria like AIC and …

Focussed model selection in quantile regression

P Behl, G Claeskens, H Dette - Statistica Sinica, 2014 - JSTOR
We consider the problem of model selection for quantile regression analysis when a
particular purpose of the modeling procedure has to be taken into account. Typical …

[PDF][PDF] The risk that risk will change

RF Engle - Journal of investment management, 2009 - joim.com
Standard approaches to risk management focus on short-run risks, yet many positions are
held for longer periods. Over such holding periods there is a risk that risks will change. In …

Predictive, finite-sample model choice for time series under stationarity and non-stationarity

T Kley, P Preuß, P Fryzlewicz - 2019 - projecteuclid.org
In statistical research there usually exists a choice between structurally simpler or more
complex models. We argue that, even if a more complex, locally stationary time series model …

Focused model selection for linear mixed models with an application to whale ecology

C Cunen, L Walløe, NL Hjort - The Annals of Applied Statistics, 2020 - JSTOR
A central point of disagreement, in certain long-standing discussions about a particular
whaling dataset in the Scientific Committee of the International Whaling Commission, has …

Automated variable selection in vector multiplicative error models

F Cipollini, GM Gallo - Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2010 - Elsevier
Multiplicative Error Models (MEM) can be used to trace the dynamics of non-negative valued
processes. Interactions between several such processes are accommodated by the vector …

Shrinkage estimation of semiparametric multiplicative error models

CT Brownlees, GM Gallo - International Journal of Forecasting, 2011 - Elsevier
Within models for nonnegative time series, it is common to encounter deterministic
components (trends, seasonalities) which can be specified in a flexible form. This work …

Order selection in ARMA models using the focused information criterion

N Rohan, TV Ramanathan - Australian & New Zealand Journal …, 2011 - Wiley Online Library
This paper develops a new approach for order selection in autoregressive moving average
models using the focused information criterion. This criterion minimizes the asymptotic mean …

Focused estimation and model averaging with penalization methods: an overview

G Claeskens - Statistica Neerlandica, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
The quest for a good estimator of a certain focus or target is present regardless of the
dimensionality of the data. Obtaining such a good estimator with low mean squared error …