Predictability of the Indian Ocean Dipole in the coupled models

H Liu, Y Tang, D Chen, T Lian - Climate Dynamics, 2017 - Springer
In this study, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) predictability, measured by the Indian Dipole
Mode Index (DMI), is comprehensively examined at the seasonal time scale, including its …

Potential predictability of I ndian summer monsoon rainfall in NCEP CFSv2

SK Saha, S Pokhrel, K Salunke… - Journal of Advances …, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
The potential predictability of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR), soil moisture, and
sea surface temperature (SST) is explored in the latest version of the NCEP Climate …

Predictable patterns and predictive skills of monsoon precipitation in Northern Hemisphere summer in NCEP CFSv2 reforecasts

Z Zuo, S Yang, ZZ Hu, R Zhang, W Wang, B Huang… - Climate dynamics, 2013 - Springer
The predictable patterns and predictive skills of monsoon precipitation in the Northern
Hemisphere summer (June–July–August) are examined using reforecasts (1983–2010) …

Predictability of Indian Ocean Dipole Over 138 Years Using a CESM Ensemble‐Prediction System

X Song, Y Tang, T Liu, X Li - Journal of Geophysical Research …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
In this study, we performed a long‐term ensemble hindcast from 1880 to 2017 (138 years)
using the Community Earth System Model (CESM) and conducted a comprehensive …

[HTML][HTML] PNA predictability at various time scales

W Younas, Y Tang - Journal of climate, 2013 - journals.ametsoc.org
In this study, the predictability of the Pacific–North American (PNA) pattern is evaluated on
time scales from days to months using state-of-the-art dynamical multiple-model ensembles …

East Asian winter monsoon forecasting schemes based on the NCEP's climate forecast system

B Tian, K Fan, H Yang - Climate Dynamics, 2018 - Springer
Abstract The East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) is the major climate system in the Northern
Hemisphere during boreal winter. In this study, we developed two schemes to improve the …

Multidecadal Changes of the Seasonal Potential Predictability of Winter PNA and Associated Circulation Anomalies

X Yan, W Yao, Y Tang - Journal of Climate, 2024 - journals.ametsoc.org
Utilizing ensemble hindcast data from the Community Earth System Model (CESM)
spanning the years 1900–2014, the multidecadal changes in the seasonal potential …

A theoretical relationship between probabilistic relative operating characteristic skill and deterministic correlation skill in dynamical seasonal climate prediction

D Yang, Y Tang, XQ Yang, D Ye, T Liu, T Feng, X Yan… - Climate Dynamics, 2021 - Springer
Understanding the relationship between probabilistic and deterministic prediction skills is of
important significance for the study of seasonal forecasting and verification. Based on the …

Potential predictability and actual skill of Boreal Summer Tropical SST and Indian summer monsoon rainfall in CFSv2-T382: Role of initial SST and teleconnections

PA Pillai, SA Rao, RS Das, K Salunke, A Dhakate - Climate Dynamics, 2018 - Springer
The present study assess the potential predictability of boreal summer (June through
September, JJAS) tropical sea surface temperature (SST) and Indian summer monsoon …

On the relationship between probabilistic and deterministic skills in dynamical seasonal climate prediction

D Yang, XQ Yang, D Ye, X Sun, J Fang… - Journal of …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Despite the gradually increasing emphasis on assessing the skill of dynamical seasonal
climate predictions from the probabilistic perspective, there is a lack of in‐depth …