Recent advances in directional statistics

A Pewsey, E García-Portugués - Test, 2021‏ - Springer
Mainstream statistical methodology is generally applicable to data observed in Euclidean
space. There are, however, numerous contexts of considerable scientific interest in which …

Stochastic weather generators: an overview of weather type models

P Ailliot, D Allard, V Monbet, P Naveau - Journal de la société …, 2015‏ - numdam.org
A recurrent issue encountered in environmental, ecological or agricultural impact studies in
which climate is an important driving force is to provide fast and realistic simulations of …

Planning of distributed renewable energy systems under uncertainty based on statistical machine learning

X Fu, X Wu, C Zhang, S Fan… - Protection and Control of …, 2022‏ - ieeexplore.ieee.org
The development of distributed renewable energy, such as photovoltaic power and wind
power generation, makes the energy system cleaner, and is of great significance in reducing …

Time series analysis and modeling to forecast: A survey

F Dama, C Sinoquet - arxiv preprint arxiv:2104.00164, 2021‏ - arxiv.org
Time series modeling for predictive purpose has been an active research area of machine
learning for many years. However, no sufficiently comprehensive and meanwhile …

[HTML][HTML] Multi-objective algorithm for the design of prediction intervals for wind power forecasting model

P Jiang, R Li, H Li - Applied Mathematical Modelling, 2019‏ - Elsevier
A composite forecasting framework is designed and implemented successfully to estimate
the prediction intervals of wind speed time series simultaneously through machine learning …

Spatio-temporal short-term wind forecast: A calibrated regime-switching method

AA Ezzat, M Jun, Y Ding - The annals of applied statistics, 2019‏ - pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Accurate short-term forecasts are indispensable for the integration of wind energy in power
grids. On a wind farm, local wind conditions exhibit sizeable variations at a fine temporal …

Sparse vector Markov switching autoregressive models. Application to multivariate time series of temperature

V Monbet, P Ailliot - Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2017‏ - Elsevier
Multivariate time series are of interest in many fields including economics and environment.
The dynamical processes occurring in these domains often exhibit a mixture of different …

Model-based time-varying clustering of multivariate longitudinal data with covariates and outliers

A Maruotti, A Punzo - Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2017‏ - Elsevier
A class of multivariate linear models under the longitudinal setting, in which unobserved
heterogeneity may evolve over time, is introduced. A latent structure is considered to model …

A Non‐Gaussian Spatio‐Temporal Model for Daily Wind Speeds Based on a Multi‐Variate Skew‐t Distribution

F Tagle, S Castruccio, P Crippa… - Journal of Time Series …, 2019‏ - Wiley Online Library
Facing increasing domestic energy consumption from population growth and
industrialization, Saudi Arabia is aiming to reduce its reliance on fossil fuels and to broaden …

A test of using markov-switching GARCH models in oil and natural gas trading

OV De la Torre-Torres, E Galeana-Figueroa… - Energies, 2019‏ - mdpi.com
In this paper, we test the use of Markov-switching (MS) GARCH (MSGARCH) models for
trading either oil or natural gas futures. Using weekly data from 7 January 1994 to 31 May …