Mitigating disaster risks in the age of climate change

H Hong, N Wang, J Yang - Econometrica, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Emissions abatement alone cannot address the consequences of global warming for
weather disasters. We model how society adapts to manage disaster risks to capital stock …

Premium for heightened uncertainty: Explaining pre-announcement market returns

GX Hu, J Pan, J Wang, H Zhu - Journal of Financial Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
We find large overnight returns with no abnormal variance before nonfarm payrolls, ISM, and
GDP announcements, similar to the pre-FOMC returns. To explain this common pattern, we …

Why does the Fed move markets so much? A model of monetary policy and time-varying risk aversion

C Pflueger, G Rinaldi - Journal of Financial Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
We show that endogenous variation in risk aversion over the business cycle can jointly
explain financial market responses to high-frequency monetary policy shocks with standard …

Macroeconomic attention and announcement risk premia

A Fisher, C Martineau, J Sheng - The Review of Financial …, 2022 - academic.oup.com
We construct macroeconomic attention indexes (MAI), which are new measures of attention
to different macroeconomic risks, including unemployment and monetary policy. Individual …

The cross section of the monetary policy announcement premium

H Ai, LJ Han, XN Pan, L Xu - Journal of Financial Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
Using the expected option-implied variance reduction to measure the sensitivity of stock
returns to monetary policy announcement surprises, this paper shows monetary policy …

Information acquisition and the pre-announcement drift

H Ai, R Bansal, LJ Han - Available at SSRN 3964349, 2021 - papers.ssrn.com
We present a dynamic Grossman-Stiglitz model with endogenous information acquisition to
explain the pre-FOMC announcement drift. Because FOMC announcements reveal …

Pre-announcement risk

T Laarits - NYU Stern School of Business, 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
I propose and test a new explanation for the pre-FOMC announcement drift puzzle. I show
that such a drift arises in a model where investors interpret a given FOMC action based on …

0DTE asset pricing

C Almeida, G Freire, R Hizmeri - Available at SSRN 4701401, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
We document asset pricing implications of the new zero days-to-expiration (0DTE) options,
which today account for half of the total S&P 500 option volume. We show that:(i) most of the …

The lost capital asset pricing model

D Andrei, J Cujean, M Wilson - Review of Economic Studies, 2023 - academic.oup.com
We provide a novel explanation for the empirical failure of the capital asset pricing model
(CAPM) despite its widespread practical use. In a rational-expectations economy in which …