Genomics and epidemiology of the P. 1 SARS-CoV-2 lineage in Manaus, Brazil

NR Faria, TA Mellan, C Whittaker, IM Claro… - Science, 2021 - science.org
Cases of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection in
Manaus, Brazil, resurged in late 2020 despite previously high levels of infection. Genome …

Substantial undocumented infection facilitates the rapid dissemination of novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2)

R Li, S Pei, B Chen, Y Song, T Zhang, W Yang… - Science, 2020 - science.org
Estimation of the prevalence and contagiousness of undocumented novel coronavirus
[severe acute respiratory syndrome–coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)] infections is critical for …

Opportunities and challenges in modeling emerging infectious diseases

CJE Metcalf, J Lessler - Science, 2017 - science.org
The term “pathogen emergence” encompasses everything from previously unidentified
viruses entering the human population to established pathogens invading new populations …

Identifying climate drivers of infectious disease dynamics: recent advances and challenges ahead

CJE Metcalf, KS Walter… - … of the Royal …, 2017 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Climate change is likely to profoundly modulate the burden of infectious diseases. However,
attributing health impacts to a changing climate requires being able to associate changes in …

Combining search, social media, and traditional data sources to improve influenza surveillance

M Santillana, AT Nguyen, M Dredze… - PLoS computational …, 2015 - journals.plos.org
We present a machine learning-based methodology capable of providing real-time
(“nowcast”) and forecast estimates of influenza activity in the US by leveraging data from …

Mathematical modeling of epidemic diseases; a case study of the COVID-19 coronavirus

R Sameni - arxiv preprint arxiv:2003.11371, 2020 - arxiv.org
In this research, we study the propagation patterns of epidemic diseases such as the COVID-
19 coronavirus, from a mathematical modeling perspective. The study is based on an …

A collaborative multiyear, multimodel assessment of seasonal influenza forecasting in the United States

NG Reich, LC Brooks, SJ Fox… - Proceedings of the …, 2019 - National Acad Sciences
Influenza infects an estimated 9–35 million individuals each year in the United States and is
a contributing cause for between 12,000 and 56,000 deaths annually. Seasonal outbreaks …

Cola-GNN: Cross-location attention based graph neural networks for long-term ILI prediction

S Deng, S Wang, H Rangwala, L Wang… - Proceedings of the 29th …, 2020 - dl.acm.org
Forecasting influenza-like illness (ILI) is of prime importance to epidemiologists and health-
care providers. Early prediction of epidemic outbreaks plays a pivotal role in disease …

[HTML][HTML] Twitter improves influenza forecasting

MJ Paul, M Dredze, D Broniatowski - PLoS currents, 2014 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Accurate disease forecasts are imperative when preparing for influenza epidemic outbreaks;
nevertheless, these forecasts are often limited by the time required to collect new, accurate …

Applying infectious disease forecasting to public health: a path forward using influenza forecasting examples

CS Lutz, MP Huynh, M Schroeder, S Anyatonwu… - BMC Public Health, 2019 - Springer
Background Infectious disease forecasting aims to predict characteristics of both seasonal
epidemics and future pandemics. Accurate and timely infectious disease forecasts could aid …