Conformal prediction for uncertainty-aware planning with diffusion dynamics model

J Sun, Y Jiang, J Qiu, P Nobel… - Advances in …, 2024 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Robotic applications often involve working in environments that are uncertain, dynamic, and
partially observable. Recently, diffusion models have been proposed for learning trajectory …

[PDF][PDF] Linguistic calibration of longform generations

N Band, X Li, T Ma… - Forty-first …, 2024 - storage.prod.researchhub.com
Abstract Language models (LMs) may lead their users to make suboptimal downstream
decisions when they confidently hallucinate. This issue can be mitigated by having the LM …

A consistent and differentiable lp canonical calibration error estimator

T Popordanoska, R Sayer… - Advances in Neural …, 2022 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Calibrated probabilistic classifiers are models whose predicted probabilities can directly be
interpreted as uncertainty estimates. It has been shown recently that deep neural networks …

Human-aligned calibration for ai-assisted decision making

N Corvelo Benz, M Rodriguez - Advances in Neural …, 2023 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Whenever a binary classifier is used to provide decision support, it typically provides both a
label prediction and a confidence value. Then, the decision maker is supposed to use the …

Low-degree multicalibration

P Gopalan, MP Kim, MA Singhal… - … on Learning Theory, 2022 - proceedings.mlr.press
Introduced as a notion of algorithmic fairness, multicalibration has proved to be a powerful
and versatile concept with implications far beyond its original intent. This stringent notion …

Calibrated selective classification

A Fisch, T Jaakkola, R Barzilay - arxiv preprint arxiv:2208.12084, 2022 - arxiv.org
Selective classification allows models to abstain from making predictions (eg, say" I don't
know") when in doubt in order to obtain better effective accuracy. While typical selective …

Calibrating multimodal learning

H Ma, Q Zhang, C Zhang, B Wu, H Fu… - International …, 2023 - proceedings.mlr.press
Multimodal machine learning has achieved remarkable progress in a wide range of
scenarios. However, the reliability of multimodal learning remains largely unexplored. In this …

Position paper: Bayesian deep learning in the age of large-scale ai

T Papamarkou, M Skoularidou, K Palla… - arxiv e …, 2024 - ui.adsabs.harvard.edu
In the current landscape of deep learning research, there is a predominant emphasis on
achieving high predictive accuracy in supervised tasks involving large image and language …

Position: Bayesian Deep Learning is Needed in the Age of Large-Scale AI

T Papamarkou, M Skoularidou, K Palla… - … on Machine Learning, 2024 - openreview.net
In the current landscape of deep learning research, there is a predominant emphasis on
achieving high predictive accuracy in supervised tasks involving large image and language …

Forecasting for swap regret for all downstream agents

A Roth, M Shi - Proceedings of the 25th ACM Conference on …, 2024 - dl.acm.org
We study the problem of making predictions so that downstream agents who best respond to
them will be guaranteed diminishing swap regret, no matter what their utility functions are. It …