Understanding and managing connected extreme events

C Raymond, RM Horton, J Zscheischler… - Nature climate …, 2020 - nature.com
Extreme weather and climate events and their impacts can occur in complex combinations,
an interaction shaped by physical drivers and societal forces. In these situations …

Adapt or perish: A review of planning approaches for adaptation under deep uncertainty

WE Walker, M Haasnoot, JH Kwakkel - Sustainability, 2013 - mdpi.com
There is increasing interest in long-term plans that can adapt to changing situations under
conditions of deep uncertainty. We argue that a sustainable plan should not only achieve …

[HTML][HTML] Dynamic adaptive policy pathways: A method for crafting robust decisions for a deeply uncertain world

M Haasnoot, JH Kwakkel, WE Walker… - Global environmental …, 2013 - Elsevier
A new paradigm for planning under conditions of deep uncertainty has emerged in the
literature. According to this paradigm, a planner should create a strategic vision of the future …

How should robustness be defined for water systems planning under change?

JD Herman, PM Reed, HB Zeff… - Journal of Water …, 2015 - ascelibrary.org
Water systems planners have long recognized the need for robust solutions capable of
withstanding deviations from the conditions for which they were designed. Robustness …

The future of water resources systems analysis: Toward a scientific framework for sustainable water management

CM Brown, JR Lund, X Cai, PM Reed… - Water resources …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
This paper presents a short history of water resources systems analysis from its beginnings
in the Harvard Water Program, through its continuing evolution toward a general field of …

Many objective robust decision making for complex environmental systems undergoing change

JR Kasprzyk, S Nataraj, PM Reed… - Environmental Modelling & …, 2013 - Elsevier
This paper introduces many objective robust decision making (MORDM). MORDM combines
concepts and methods from many objective evolutionary optimization and robust decision …

Robustness metrics: How are they calculated, when should they be used and why do they give different results?

C McPhail, HR Maier, JH Kwakkel, M Giuliani… - Earth's …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Robustness is being used increasingly for decision analysis in relation to deep uncertainty
and many metrics have been proposed for its quantification. Recent studies have shown that …

[PDF][PDF] Robust decision making (RDM)

RJ Lempert - Decision making under deep uncertainty: From …, 2019 - library.oapen.org
Robust decision making (RDM) Page 35 Chapter 2 Robust Decision Making (RDM) RJ Lempert
Abstract • The quest for predictions—and a reliance on the analytical methods that require …

[HTML][HTML] Comparing robust decision-making and dynamic adaptive policy pathways for model-based decision support under deep uncertainty

JH Kwakkel, M Haasnoot, WE Walker - Environmental Modelling & …, 2016 - Elsevier
A variety of model-based approaches for supporting decision-making under deep
uncertainty have been suggested, but they are rarely compared and contrasted. In this …

Improving the contribution of climate model information to decision making: the value and demands of robust decision frameworks

CP Weaver, RJ Lempert, C Brown… - Wiley …, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
In this paper, we review the need for, use of, and demands on climate modeling to support
so‐called 'robust'decision frameworks, in the context of improving the contribution of climate …