Divergent consensuses on Arctic amplification influence on midlatitude severe winter weather
The Arctic has warmed more than twice as fast as the global average since the late twentieth
century, a phenomenon known as Arctic amplification (AA). Recently, there have been …
century, a phenomenon known as Arctic amplification (AA). Recently, there have been …
Sudden stratospheric warmings
Sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) are impressive fluid dynamical events in which
large and rapid temperature increases in the winter polar stratosphere (∼ 10–50 km) are …
large and rapid temperature increases in the winter polar stratosphere (∼ 10–50 km) are …
The teleconnection of El Niño Southern Oscillation to the stratosphere
El Niño and La Niña events in the tropical Pacific have significant and disrupting impacts on
the global atmospheric and oceanic circulation. El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) …
the global atmospheric and oceanic circulation. El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) …
The role of the stratosphere in subseasonal to seasonal prediction: 2. Predictability arising from stratosphere‐troposphere coupling
The stratosphere can have a significant impact on winter surface weather on subseasonal to
seasonal (S2S) timescales. This study evaluates the ability of current operational S2S …
seasonal (S2S) timescales. This study evaluates the ability of current operational S2S …
The 2019 new year stratospheric sudden warming and its real‐time predictions in multiple S2S models
Using multiple data sources, favorable conditions for the 2019 SSW event and its predictive
skill from 11 subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) forecast models are explored in this study. This …
skill from 11 subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) forecast models are explored in this study. This …
Long-range prediction and the stratosphere
Over recent years there have been concomitant advances in the development of
stratosphere-resolving numerical models, our understanding of stratosphere–troposphere …
stratosphere-resolving numerical models, our understanding of stratosphere–troposphere …
[HTML][HTML] Advances in the prediction of MJO teleconnections in the S2S forecast systems
Advances in the Prediction of MJO Teleconnections in the S2S Forecast Systems in: Bulletin of
the American Meteorological Society Volume 103 Issue 6 (2022) Jump to Content Logo Logo …
the American Meteorological Society Volume 103 Issue 6 (2022) Jump to Content Logo Logo …
Tropospheric and stratospheric causal pathways between the MJO and NAO
Previous work has shown that the Madden‐Julian Oscillation (MJO) can influence the North
Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) via a Rossby wave teleconnection that propagates through the …
Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) via a Rossby wave teleconnection that propagates through the …
The role of the stratosphere in teleconnections arising from fast and slow MJO episodes
Abstract The Madden‐Julian Oscillation (MJO) can influence the extratropical circulation on
timescales up to several weeks, with a dependence on the MJO characteristics: MJO …
timescales up to several weeks, with a dependence on the MJO characteristics: MJO …
MJO‐related tropical convection anomalies lead to more accurate stratospheric vortex variability in subseasonal forecast models
The effect of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation (MJO) on the Northern Hemisphere wintertime
stratospheric polar vortex in the period preceding stratospheric sudden warmings is …
stratospheric polar vortex in the period preceding stratospheric sudden warmings is …