Understanding inflation as a joint monetary–fiscal phenomenon

EM Leeper, C Leith - Handbook of macroeconomics, 2016 - Elsevier
We develop the theory of price-level determination in a range of models using both ad hoc
policy rules and jointly optimal monetary and fiscal policies and discuss empirical issues that …

Monetary/fiscal policy mix and agents' beliefs

F Bianchi, C Ilut - Review of economic Dynamics, 2017 - Elsevier
We estimate a model for the US economy with monetary/fiscal policy mix changes. Monetary
policy accommodated fiscal policy through the'60s–'70s leading to high inflation. Monetary …

Uncertainty-dependent effects of monetary policy shocks: A new-Keynesian interpretation

E Castelnuovo, G Pellegrino - Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2018 - Elsevier
We estimate a nonlinear VAR model to study the real effects of monetary policy shocks in
regimes characterized by high vs. low macroeconomic uncertainty. We find unexpected …

Changing macroeconomic dynamics at the zero lower bound

P Liu, K Theodoridis, H Mumtaz… - Journal of Business & …, 2019 - Taylor & Francis
This article develops a change-point VAR model that isolates four major macroeconomic
regimes in the US since the 1960s. The model identifies shocks to demand, supply …

Estimation and solution of models with expectations and structural changes

M Kulish, A Pagan - Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
In this paper, we develop solutions for linearized models with forward‐looking expectations
and structural changes under a variety of assumptions regarding agents' beliefs about those …

Monetary–fiscal policy interaction and fiscal inflation: A tale of three countries

M Kliem, A Kriwoluzky, S Sarferaz - European Economic Review, 2016 - Elsevier
We study the impact of the interaction between fiscal and monetary policy on the low-
frequency relationship between the fiscal stance and inflation using cross-country data from …

Fiscal foresight and the effects of government spending: It's all in the monetary-fiscal mix

G Ascari, P Beck-Friis, A Florio, A Gobbi - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2023 - Elsevier
Announcements of future government spending have different effects on economic activity
depending on the monetary-fiscal policy mix. Upon announcement, they are contractionary …

Solving endogenous regime switching models

J Barthélemy, M Marx - Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2017 - Elsevier
This paper solves rational expectations models in which structural parameters switch across
multiple regimes according to state-dependent (endogenous) transition probabilities …

Strategic interactions in US monetary and fiscal policies

X Chen, EM Leeper, C Leith - Quantitative Economics, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
We estimate a model in which fiscal and monetary policy obey the targeting rules of distinct
policy authorities, with potentially different objective functions. We find:(1) Time‐consistent …