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Is economics research replicable? Sixty published papers from thirteen journals say'usually not'
We attempt to replicate 67 papers published in 13 well-regarded economics journals using
author-provided replication files that include both data and code. Some journals in our …
author-provided replication files that include both data and code. Some journals in our …
Understanding inflation as a joint monetary–fiscal phenomenon
We develop the theory of price-level determination in a range of models using both ad hoc
policy rules and jointly optimal monetary and fiscal policies and discuss empirical issues that …
policy rules and jointly optimal monetary and fiscal policies and discuss empirical issues that …
Monetary/fiscal policy mix and agents' beliefs
We estimate a model for the US economy with monetary/fiscal policy mix changes. Monetary
policy accommodated fiscal policy through the'60s–'70s leading to high inflation. Monetary …
policy accommodated fiscal policy through the'60s–'70s leading to high inflation. Monetary …
Uncertainty-dependent effects of monetary policy shocks: A new-Keynesian interpretation
We estimate a nonlinear VAR model to study the real effects of monetary policy shocks in
regimes characterized by high vs. low macroeconomic uncertainty. We find unexpected …
regimes characterized by high vs. low macroeconomic uncertainty. We find unexpected …
Changing macroeconomic dynamics at the zero lower bound
P Liu, K Theodoridis, H Mumtaz… - Journal of Business & …, 2019 - Taylor & Francis
This article develops a change-point VAR model that isolates four major macroeconomic
regimes in the US since the 1960s. The model identifies shocks to demand, supply …
regimes in the US since the 1960s. The model identifies shocks to demand, supply …
Estimation and solution of models with expectations and structural changes
M Kulish, A Pagan - Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
In this paper, we develop solutions for linearized models with forward‐looking expectations
and structural changes under a variety of assumptions regarding agents' beliefs about those …
and structural changes under a variety of assumptions regarding agents' beliefs about those …
Monetary–fiscal policy interaction and fiscal inflation: A tale of three countries
We study the impact of the interaction between fiscal and monetary policy on the low-
frequency relationship between the fiscal stance and inflation using cross-country data from …
frequency relationship between the fiscal stance and inflation using cross-country data from …
Fiscal foresight and the effects of government spending: It's all in the monetary-fiscal mix
Announcements of future government spending have different effects on economic activity
depending on the monetary-fiscal policy mix. Upon announcement, they are contractionary …
depending on the monetary-fiscal policy mix. Upon announcement, they are contractionary …
Solving endogenous regime switching models
This paper solves rational expectations models in which structural parameters switch across
multiple regimes according to state-dependent (endogenous) transition probabilities …
multiple regimes according to state-dependent (endogenous) transition probabilities …
Strategic interactions in US monetary and fiscal policies
We estimate a model in which fiscal and monetary policy obey the targeting rules of distinct
policy authorities, with potentially different objective functions. We find:(1) Time‐consistent …
policy authorities, with potentially different objective functions. We find:(1) Time‐consistent …