Statistical physics approach to earthquake occurrence and forecasting

L de Arcangelis, C Godano, JR Grasso, E Lippiello - Physics Reports, 2016 - Elsevier
There is striking evidence that the dynamics of the Earth crust is controlled by a wide variety
of mutually dependent mechanisms acting at different spatial and temporal scales. The …

Modelling disease spread and control in networks: implications for plant sciences

MJ Jeger, M Pautasso, O Holdenrieder… - New …, 2007 - Wiley Online Library
Networks are ubiquitous in natural, technological and social systems. They are of increasing
relevance for improved understanding and control of infectious diseases of plants, animals …

Clustering analysis of seismicity and aftershock identification

I Zaliapin, A Gabrielov, V Keilis-Borok, H Wong - Physical review letters, 2008 - APS
We introduce a statistical methodology for clustering analysis of seismicity in the time-space-
energy domain and use it to establish the existence of two statistically distinct populations of …

[HTML][HTML] Explainable machine learning for labquake prediction using catalog-driven features

S Karimpouli, D Caus, H Grover… - Earth and Planetary …, 2023 - Elsevier
Recently, Machine learning (ML) has been widely utilized for laboratory earthquake
(labquake) prediction using various types of data. This study pioneers in time to failure (TTF) …

Unsupervised clustering of catalogue-driven features for characterizing temporal evolution of labquake stress

S Karimpouli, G Kwiatek… - Geophysical Journal …, 2024 - academic.oup.com
Earthquake forecasting poses significant challenges, especially due to the elusive nature of
stress states in fault systems. To tackle this problem, we use features derived from seismic …

The influence of the brittle-ductile transition zone on aftershock and foreshock occurrence

G Petrillo, E Lippiello, FP Landes, A Rosso - Nature communications, 2020 - nature.com
Aftershock occurrence is characterized by scaling behaviors with quite universal exponents.
At the same time, deviations from universality have been proposed as a tool to discriminate …

Apparent triggering function of aftershocks resulting from rate‐dependent incompleteness of earthquake catalogs

S Hainzl - Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
The onset of the aftershock decay after main shocks is controversial. Physical models predict
that the onset time is stress dependent, and catalog analysis shows a clear increase of the c …

The overlap of aftershock coda waves and short‐term postseismic forecasting

L De Arcangelis, C Godano… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
The elaboration of reliable forecasting in the first hours after large shocks, very useful for the
postseismic management, is strongly affected by the huge incompleteness of seismic …

[HTML][HTML] Estimating the epicenter of an impending strong earthquake by combining the seismicity order parameter variability analysis with earthquake networks and …

PK Varotsos, J Perez-Oregon, ES Skordas, NV Sarlis - Applied Sciences, 2021 - mdpi.com
The variance κ 1 of the natural time analysis of earthquake catalogs was proposed in 2005
as an order parameter for seismicity, whose fluctuations proved, in 2011, to be minimized a …

Analysis of the spatial distribution between successive earthquakes

J Davidsen, M Paczuski - Physical Review Letters, 2005 - APS
Spatial distances between subsequent earthquakes in southern California exhibit scale-free
statistics, with a critical exponent δ≈ 0.6, as well as finite size scaling. The statistics are …