Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …

Ecological inference is a statistical technique used to infer individual behavior from
aggregate data. A particularly relevant instance of ecological inference involves the …

Over the years, a number of methods have been proposed to forecast the unknown inner-
cell values of a set of related RxC contingency tables when only their margins are known …

The estimation of the inner entries of a set of related RxC contingency tables when only the
margins are known poses one of the most difficult problems in the field of the social …

This article examines the outcome of the July 2023 election in Spain. Despite the right-and
far-right bloc winning a higher share of the votes, the two main incumbent parties on the left …

This paper introduces the SEA database (acronym for Spanish Electoral Archive). SEA
brings together the most complete public repository available to date on Spanish election …

Ecological inference methods are devised to estimate unknown inner-cells of 2-way
contingency tables by inferring conditional distribution probabilities. This outlines one of the …

Ecological inference models aim to infer individual-level relationships using aggregate data.
They are routinely used to estimate voter transitions between elections, disclose split-ticket …

Facing a prospective majority of socialists during the early third of the 20th century, some
secular conservative and liberal parties pooled their votes to raise the majority threshold for …

The analysis of aggregate data has received increasing attention in the statistical discipline
over the past 20 years, with the ongoing development of a suite of techniques that are …