Review on probabilistic forecasting of photovoltaic power production and electricity consumption

DW Van der Meer, J Widén, J Munkhammar - Renewable and Sustainable …, 2018 - Elsevier
Abstract tAccurate forecasting simultaneously becomes more important and more
challenging due to the increasing penetration of photovoltaic (PV) systems in the built …

Neural network-based uncertainty quantification: A survey of methodologies and applications

HMD Kabir, A Khosravi, MA Hosen… - IEEE access, 2018 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Uncertainty quantification plays a critical role in the process of decision making and
optimization in many fields of science and engineering. The field has gained an …

A data-driven interval forecasting model for building energy prediction using attention-based LSTM and fuzzy information granulation

Y Li, Z Tong, S Tong, D Westerdahl - Sustainable Cities and Society, 2022 - Elsevier
Quantifying uncertainties in the prediction of building energy consumption is critical to
building energy management systems. In this study, a deep-learning-based interval …

Prediction of short-term PV power output and uncertainty analysis

L Liu, Y Zhao, D Chang, J **e, Z Ma, Q Sun, H Yin… - Applied energy, 2018 - Elsevier
Due to the intermittency and uncertainty in photovoltaic (PV) power outputs, not only
deterministic point predictions (DPPs), but also associated prediction Intervals (PIs) are …

[HTML][HTML] Computational intelligence approaches for energy load forecasting in smart energy management grids: state of the art, future challenges, and research …

SN Fallah, RC Deo, M Shojafar, M Conti… - Energies, 2018 - mdpi.com
Energy management systems are designed to monitor, optimize, and control the smart grid
energy market. Demand-side management, considered as an essential part of the energy …

Short-term load and wind power forecasting using neural network-based prediction intervals

H Quan, D Srinivasan… - IEEE transactions on …, 2013 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Electrical power systems are evolving from today's centralized bulk systems to more
decentralized systems. Penetrations of renewable energies, such as wind and solar power …

Deep learning-based multivariate probabilistic forecasting for short-term scheduling in power markets

JF Toubeau, J Bottieau, F Vallée… - IEEE Transactions on …, 2018 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
In the current competition framework governing the electricity sector, complex dependencies
exist between electrical and market data, which complicates the decision-making procedure …

Comprehensive review of neural network-based prediction intervals and new advances

A Khosravi, S Nahavandi, D Creighton… - IEEE Transactions on …, 2011 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
This paper evaluates the four leading techniques proposed in the literature for construction
of prediction intervals (PIs) for neural network point forecasts. The delta, Bayesian …

Lower upper bound estimation method for construction of neural network-based prediction intervals

A Khosravi, S Nahavandi, D Creighton… - IEEE transactions on …, 2010 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Prediction intervals (PIs) have been proposed in the literature to provide more information by
quantifying the level of uncertainty associated to the point forecasts. Traditional methods for …

Ultra-short-term interval prediction of wind power based on graph neural network and improved bootstrap technique

W Liao, S Wang, B Bak-Jensen, JR Pillai… - Journal of Modern …, 2023 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Reliable and accurate ultra-short-term prediction of wind power is vital for the operation and
optimization of power systems. However, the volatility and intermittence of wind power pose …