Financial bubbles: Excess cash, momentum, and incomplete information

G Caginalp, D Porter, V Smith - The Journal of Psychology and …, 2001 - Taylor & Francis
We report on a large number of laboratory market experiments demonstrating that a market
bubble can be reduced under the following conditions: 1) a low initial liquidity level, ie, less …

Valuation, liquidity price, and stability of cryptocurrencies

C Caginalp, G Caginalp - Proceedings of the National Academy of …, 2018 - pnas.org
The spectacular rise of Bitcoin's price has attracted the attention of many, including
government regulators and speculators and those who wish to use a virtual currency, often …

Is reversal of large stock‐price declines caused by overreaction or information asymmetry: Evidence from stock and option markets

HS Choi, N Jayaraman - Journal of Futures Markets: Futures …, 2009 - Wiley Online Library
The role of option markets is reexamined in the reversal process of stock prices following
stock price declines of 10% or more. A matched pair of optionable and nonoptionable firms …

The dynamics of trader motivations in asset bubbles

G Caginalp, V Ilieva - Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2008 - Elsevier
Asset market experiments are analyzed by distinguishing participants who are net bidders
versus net offerers when the trading price is above fundamental value. We find evidence that …

On stablecoin price processes and arbitrage

IGA Pernice - … Conference on Financial Cryptography and Data …, 2021 - Springer
This study applies the Caginalp and Balenovic (1999) model for asset flow dynamics to fully
collateralized stablecoins. The analysis provides novel insights on how trend-reversion and …

Optimal investment for worst-case crash scenarios: A martingale approach

FT Seifried - Mathematics of Operations Research, 2010 - pubsonline.informs.org
We investigate the optimal portfolio problem under the threat of a financial market crash in a
multidimensional jump-diffusion framework. We set up a nonprobabilistic crash model and …

Can markets learn to avoid bubbles?

RM Miller - The Journal of Psychology and Financial Markets, 2002 - Taylor & Francis
One of the most striking results in experimental economics is the ease with which market
bubbles form in a laboratory setting and the difficulty of preventing them. This article re …

Stock price dynamics: nonlinear trend, volume, volatility, resistance and money supply

G Caginalp, M Desantis - Quantitative Finance, 2011 - Taylor & Francis
We present a methodology to study a data set of 119 260 daily closed-end fund prices using
mixed-effects regressions with the objective of understanding price dynamics. There is …

A dynamical systems approach to cryptocurrency stability

C Caginalp - arxiv preprint arxiv:1805.03143, 2018 - arxiv.org
Recently, the notion of cryptocurrencies has come to the fore of public interest. These assets
that exist only in electronic form, with no underlying value, offer the owners some protection …

Overreaction diamonds: Precursors and aftershocks for significant price changes

A Duran, G Caginalp - Quantitative Finance, 2007 - Taylor & Francis
Overreactions and other behavioral effects in stock prices can best be examined by
adjusting for the changes in fundamentals. We perform this by subtracting the relative price …