Event-based incremental recommendation via factors mixed Hawkes process
Incremental recommendation systems have garnered significant research interest since they
ideally adapt to users' ongoing events (such as clicking, browsing, and reviewing) and …
ideally adapt to users' ongoing events (such as clicking, browsing, and reviewing) and …
Bayesian non-parametric method for decision support: Forecasting online product sales
Forecasting online product sales is essential for retailers and e-commerce platforms, but it
can be challenging owing to the complex dynamics and mixed trends in sales data. Popular …
can be challenging owing to the complex dynamics and mixed trends in sales data. Popular …
Efficient inference for nonparametric hawkes processes using auxiliary latent variables
The expressive ability of classic Hawkes processes is limited due to the parametric
assumption on the baseline intensity and triggering kernel. Therefore, it is desirable to …
assumption on the baseline intensity and triggering kernel. Therefore, it is desirable to …
Self-adaptable point processes with nonparametric time decays
Many applications involve multi-type event data. Understanding the complex influences of
the events on each other is critical to discover useful knowledge and to predict future events …
the events on each other is critical to discover useful knowledge and to predict future events …
Advances in Temporal Point Processes: Bayesian, Deep, and LLM Approaches
Temporal point processes (TPPs) are stochastic process models used to characterize event
sequences occurring in continuous time. Traditional statistical TPPs have a long-standing …
sequences occurring in continuous time. Traditional statistical TPPs have a long-standing …
GP-ETAS: semiparametric Bayesian inference for the spatio-temporal epidemic type aftershock sequence model
The spatio-temporal epidemic type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model is widely used to
describe the self-exciting nature of earthquake occurrences. While traditional inference …
describe the self-exciting nature of earthquake occurrences. While traditional inference …
Bayesian neural Hawkes process for event uncertainty prediction
Event data consisting of time of occurrence of the events arises in several real-world
applications. A commonly used framework to model such events is known as temporal point …
applications. A commonly used framework to model such events is known as temporal point …
Deep neyman-scott processes
A Neyman-Scott process is a special case of a Cox process. The latent and observable
stochastic processes are both Poisson processes. We consider a deep Neyman-Scott …
stochastic processes are both Poisson processes. We consider a deep Neyman-Scott …
Interval-censored Hawkes processes
Interval-censored data solely records the aggregated counts of events during specific time
intervals-such as the number of patients admitted to the hospital or the volume of vehicles …
intervals-such as the number of patients admitted to the hospital or the volume of vehicles …
Variational Bayesian inference for nonlinear Hawkes process with Gaussian process self-effects
Traditionally, Hawkes processes are used to model time-continuous point processes with
history dependence. Here, we propose an extended model where the self-effects are of both …
history dependence. Here, we propose an extended model where the self-effects are of both …