Event-based incremental recommendation via factors mixed Hawkes process

Z Cui, X Sun, L Pan, S Liu, G Xu - Information Sciences, 2023 - Elsevier
Incremental recommendation systems have garnered significant research interest since they
ideally adapt to users' ongoing events (such as clicking, browsing, and reviewing) and …

Bayesian non-parametric method for decision support: Forecasting online product sales

Z Wu, X Chen, Z Gao - Decision support systems, 2023 - Elsevier
Forecasting online product sales is essential for retailers and e-commerce platforms, but it
can be challenging owing to the complex dynamics and mixed trends in sales data. Popular …

Efficient inference for nonparametric hawkes processes using auxiliary latent variables

F Zhou, Z Li, X Fan, Y Wang, A Sowmya… - Journal of Machine …, 2020 - jmlr.org
The expressive ability of classic Hawkes processes is limited due to the parametric
assumption on the baseline intensity and triggering kernel. Therefore, it is desirable to …

Self-adaptable point processes with nonparametric time decays

Z Pan, Z Wang, JM Phillips… - Advances in Neural …, 2021 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Many applications involve multi-type event data. Understanding the complex influences of
the events on each other is critical to discover useful knowledge and to predict future events …

Advances in Temporal Point Processes: Bayesian, Deep, and LLM Approaches

F Zhou, Q Kong, Y Zhang - arxiv preprint arxiv:2501.14291, 2025 - arxiv.org
Temporal point processes (TPPs) are stochastic process models used to characterize event
sequences occurring in continuous time. Traditional statistical TPPs have a long-standing …

GP-ETAS: semiparametric Bayesian inference for the spatio-temporal epidemic type aftershock sequence model

C Molkenthin, C Donner, S Reich, G Zöller… - Statistics and …, 2022 - Springer
The spatio-temporal epidemic type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model is widely used to
describe the self-exciting nature of earthquake occurrences. While traditional inference …

Bayesian neural Hawkes process for event uncertainty prediction

M Dubey, R Palakkadavath, PK Srijith - International Journal of Data …, 2023 - Springer
Event data consisting of time of occurrence of the events arises in several real-world
applications. A commonly used framework to model such events is known as temporal point …

Deep neyman-scott processes

C Hong, C Shelton - International Conference on Artificial …, 2022 - proceedings.mlr.press
A Neyman-Scott process is a special case of a Cox process. The latent and observable
stochastic processes are both Poisson processes. We consider a deep Neyman-Scott …

Interval-censored Hawkes processes

MA Rizoiu, A Soen, S Li, P Calderon, LJ Dong… - Journal of Machine …, 2022 - jmlr.org
Interval-censored data solely records the aggregated counts of events during specific time
intervals-such as the number of patients admitted to the hospital or the volume of vehicles …

Variational Bayesian inference for nonlinear Hawkes process with Gaussian process self-effects

N Malem-Shinitski, C Ojeda, M Opper - Entropy, 2022 - mdpi.com
Traditionally, Hawkes processes are used to model time-continuous point processes with
history dependence. Here, we propose an extended model where the self-effects are of both …