Process drivers, inter-model spread, and the path forward: A review of amplified Arctic warming
Arctic amplification (AA) is a coupled atmosphere-sea ice-ocean process. This
understanding has evolved from the early concept of AA, as a consequence of snow-ice line …
understanding has evolved from the early concept of AA, as a consequence of snow-ice line …
Projections of an ice-free Arctic Ocean
Observed Arctic sea ice losses are a sentinel of anthropogenic climate change. These
reductions are projected to continue with ongoing warming, ultimately leading to an ice-free …
reductions are projected to continue with ongoing warming, ultimately leading to an ice-free …
The Arctic has warmed nearly four times faster than the globe since 1979
In recent decades, the warming in the Arctic has been much faster than in the rest of the
world, a phenomenon known as Arctic amplification. Numerous studies report that the Arctic …
world, a phenomenon known as Arctic amplification. Numerous studies report that the Arctic …
Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario
The sixth assessment report of the IPCC assessed that the Arctic is projected to be on
average practically ice-free in September near mid-century under intermediate and high …
average practically ice-free in September near mid-century under intermediate and high …
Polar regions
This chapter assesses the state of physical, biological and social knowledge concerning the
Arctic and Antarctic ocean and cryosphere, how they are affected by climate change, and …
Arctic and Antarctic ocean and cryosphere, how they are affected by climate change, and …
Human influence on the climate system (Chapter 3)
The AR5 concluded that human influence on the climate system is clear, evident from
increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, positive radiative forcing …
increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, positive radiative forcing …
Annual mean Arctic amplification 1970–2020: Observed and simulated by CMIP6 climate models
While the annual mean Arctic Amplification (AA) index varied between two and three during
the 1970–2000 period, it reached values exceeding four during the first two decades of the …
the 1970–2000 period, it reached values exceeding four during the first two decades of the …
The recent emergence of Arctic amplification
Arctic Amplification is robustly seen in climate model simulations of future warming and in
the paleoclimate record. Here, we focus on the past century of observations. We show that …
the paleoclimate record. Here, we focus on the past century of observations. We show that …
Structure and performance of GFDL's CM4. 0 climate model
Abstract We describe the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory's CM4. 0 physical climate
model, with emphasis on those aspects that may be of particular importance to users of this …
model, with emphasis on those aspects that may be of particular importance to users of this …
An updated assessment of the changing Arctic sea ice cover
Sea ice is an essential component of the Arctic climate system. The Arctic sea ice cover has
undergone substantial changes in the past 40+ years, including decline in areal extent in all …
undergone substantial changes in the past 40+ years, including decline in areal extent in all …