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Stein's method meets computational statistics: A review of some recent developments
Stein's method compares probability distributions through the study of a class of linear
operators called Stein operators. While mainly studied in probability and used to underpin …
operators called Stein operators. While mainly studied in probability and used to underpin …
Marginal likelihood computation for model selection and hypothesis testing: an extensive review
This is an up-to-date introduction to, and overview of, marginal likelihood computation for
model selection and hypothesis testing. Computing normalizing constants of probability …
model selection and hypothesis testing. Computing normalizing constants of probability …
Control functionals for Monte Carlo integration
A non-parametric extension of control variates is presented. These leverage gradient
information on the sampling density to achieve substantial variance reduction. It is not …
information on the sampling density to achieve substantial variance reduction. It is not …
Bayesian probabilistic numerical methods
Over forty years ago average-case error was proposed in the applied mathematics literature
as an alternative criterion with which to assess numerical methods. In contrast to worst-case …
as an alternative criterion with which to assess numerical methods. In contrast to worst-case …
Probabilistic integration
A research frontier has emerged in scientific computation, wherein discretisation error is
regarded as a source of epistemic uncertainty that can be modelled. This raises several …
regarded as a source of epistemic uncertainty that can be modelled. This raises several …
A Bayesian information criterion for singular models
We consider approximate Bayesian model choice for model selection problems that involve
models whose Fisher information matrices may fail to be invertible along other competing …
models whose Fisher information matrices may fail to be invertible along other competing …
Optimal thinning of MCMC output
The use of heuristics to assess the convergence and compress the output of Markov chain
Monte Carlo can be sub-optimal in terms of the empirical approximations that are produced …
Monte Carlo can be sub-optimal in terms of the empirical approximations that are produced …
Fast Bayesian inference with batch Bayesian quadrature via kernel recombination
Calculation of Bayesian posteriors and model evidences typically requires numerical
integration. Bayesian quadrature (BQ), a surrogate-model-based approach to numerical …
integration. Bayesian quadrature (BQ), a surrogate-model-based approach to numerical …
Regularized zero-variance control variates
Regularized Zero-Variance Control Variates Page 1 Bayesian Analysis (2023) 18, Number 3,
pp. 865–888 Regularized Zero-Variance Control Variates ∗ LF South †,‡ , CJ Oates § , A. Mira …
pp. 865–888 Regularized Zero-Variance Control Variates ∗ LF South †,‡ , CJ Oates § , A. Mira …
Meta-learning control variates: Variance reduction with limited data
Control variates can be a powerful tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimators, but
constructing effective control variates can be challenging when the number of samples is …
constructing effective control variates can be challenging when the number of samples is …