Stein's method meets computational statistics: A review of some recent developments

A Anastasiou, A Barp, FX Briol, B Ebner… - Statistical …, 2023 - projecteuclid.org
Stein's method compares probability distributions through the study of a class of linear
operators called Stein operators. While mainly studied in probability and used to underpin …

Marginal likelihood computation for model selection and hypothesis testing: an extensive review

F Llorente, L Martino, D Delgado, J Lopez-Santiago - SIAM review, 2023 - SIAM
This is an up-to-date introduction to, and overview of, marginal likelihood computation for
model selection and hypothesis testing. Computing normalizing constants of probability …

Control functionals for Monte Carlo integration

CJ Oates, M Girolami, N Chopin - Journal of the Royal Statistical …, 2017 - academic.oup.com
A non-parametric extension of control variates is presented. These leverage gradient
information on the sampling density to achieve substantial variance reduction. It is not …

Bayesian probabilistic numerical methods

J Cockayne, CJ Oates, TJ Sullivan, M Girolami - SIAM review, 2019 - SIAM
Over forty years ago average-case error was proposed in the applied mathematics literature
as an alternative criterion with which to assess numerical methods. In contrast to worst-case …

Probabilistic integration

FX Briol, CJ Oates, M Girolami, MA Osborne… - Statistical Science, 2019 - JSTOR
A research frontier has emerged in scientific computation, wherein discretisation error is
regarded as a source of epistemic uncertainty that can be modelled. This raises several …

A Bayesian information criterion for singular models

M Drton, M Plummer - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society …, 2017 - academic.oup.com
We consider approximate Bayesian model choice for model selection problems that involve
models whose Fisher information matrices may fail to be invertible along other competing …

Optimal thinning of MCMC output

M Riabiz, WY Chen, J Cockayne… - Journal of the Royal …, 2022 - academic.oup.com
The use of heuristics to assess the convergence and compress the output of Markov chain
Monte Carlo can be sub-optimal in terms of the empirical approximations that are produced …

Fast Bayesian inference with batch Bayesian quadrature via kernel recombination

M Adachi, S Hayakawa, M Jørgensen… - Advances in …, 2022 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Calculation of Bayesian posteriors and model evidences typically requires numerical
integration. Bayesian quadrature (BQ), a surrogate-model-based approach to numerical …

Regularized zero-variance control variates

LF South, CJ Oates, A Mira, C Drovandi - Bayesian Analysis, 2023 - projecteuclid.org
Regularized Zero-Variance Control Variates Page 1 Bayesian Analysis (2023) 18, Number 3,
pp. 865–888 Regularized Zero-Variance Control Variates ∗ LF South †,‡ , CJ Oates § , A. Mira …

Meta-learning control variates: Variance reduction with limited data

Z Sun, CJ Oates, FX Briol - Uncertainty in Artificial …, 2023 - proceedings.mlr.press
Control variates can be a powerful tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimators, but
constructing effective control variates can be challenging when the number of samples is …