Measuring investor sentiment

G Zhou - Annual Review of Financial Economics, 2018 - annualreviews.org
Investor sentiment indicates how far an asset value deviates from its economic
fundamentals. In this article, we review various measures of investor sentiment based on …

Forecasting crude oil prices with a large set of predictors: Can LASSO select powerful predictors?

Y Zhang, F Ma, Y Wang - Journal of Empirical Finance, 2019 - Elsevier
In this paper, we use two prevailing shrinkage methods, the lasso and elastic net, to predict
oil price returns with a large set of predictors. The out-of-sample results indicate that the …

Scaled PCA: A new approach to dimension reduction

D Huang, F Jiang, K Li, G Tong… - Management …, 2022 - pubsonline.informs.org
This paper proposes a novel supervised learning technique for forecasting: scaled principal
component analysis (sPCA). The sPCA improves the traditional principal component …

Forecasting crude oil prices: A scaled PCA approach

M He, Y Zhang, D Wen, Y Wang - Energy Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
In this paper, we employ a novel dimension reduction approach, the scaled principal
component analysis (s-PCA), to improve the oil price predictability with technical indicators …

What do we know about corporate bond returns?

JZ Huang, Z Shi - Annual Review of Financial Economics, 2021 - annualreviews.org
Recently, there has been a fast-growing literature on the determinants of corporate bond
returns, in particular, the driving force of cross-sectional return variation. In this review, we …

Forecasting crude oil futures market returns: A principal component analysis combination approach

Y Zhang, Y Wang - International Journal of Forecasting, 2023 - Elsevier
To improve the predictability of crude oil futures market returns, this paper proposes a new
combination approach based on principal component analysis (PCA). The PCA combination …

Forecasting the prices of crude oil: An iterated combination approach

Y Zhang, F Ma, B Shi, D Huang - Energy Economics, 2018 - Elsevier
In this paper, we employ an iterated combination approach to examine oil price predictability
with a large set of predictors, including 18 macroeconomic variables and 18 technical …

Forecasting stock market returns: New technical indicators and two-step economic constraint method

Z Dai, X Dong, J Kang, L Hong - The North American Journal of Economics …, 2020 - Elsevier
The goal of our paper is to improve the accuracy of stock return forecasts by combining new
technical indicators and a new two-step economic constraint forecasting model. Empirical …

New technical indicators and stock returns predictability

Z Dai, H Zhu, J Kang - International Review of Economics & Finance, 2021 - Elsevier
We find that combining de-noising stock returns by wavelet transform with new proposed
technical indicators can significantly improve the accuracy of stock returns forecasts, in …

Bond return predictability: Economic value and links to the macroeconomy

A Gargano, D Pettenuzzo… - Management …, 2019 - pubsonline.informs.org
Studies of bond return predictability find a puzzling disparity between strong statistical
evidence of return predictability and the failure to convert return forecasts into economic …