Bayes' formula is a fundamental statistical method for inference judgments in uncertain
situations used by both laymen and professionals. However, since people often fail in …

People often struggle with Bayesian reasoning. However, previous research showed that
people's performance (and rationality) can be supported by the way the statistical …

Hay un amplio consenso en que la visualización de la información estadística puede apoyar
el razonamiento bayesiano. El trabajo se enfoca en la comprensión conceptual de las …

Solving Bayesian problems poses many challenges, such as identifying relevant numerical
information, classifying, and translating it into mathematical formula language, and forming a …

Two visualisations, ie the tree diagram and the unit square, are discussed from three
perspectives of our research programme concerning possibilities of facilitating the …

Bayesian problem situations are well known as being difficult for people to judge
adequately. Teachers in school are confronted with the question what can be done on the …

Diagrams convey information, some intended some not. A history of ringed diagrams
including their use by Euler and Venn shows that the information content of these diagrams …

Recent research yielded empirical evidence for a unit square being a useful visualization of
Bayesian situations. However, most of the studies in the research field of visualizing …

Dealing with Bayes' rule is the mathematical part of judgement in situations of uncertainty.
These situations are of importance for crucial judgements in medicine, law and further …

Auch im privaten Bereich bin ich bei der Erstellung dieser Arbeit sehr unterstützt worden.
Hier gilt mein besonderer Dank meinem Mann, Kai Linder, der bereit war, seine eigenen …