Robust forecasting of electricity prices: Simulations, models and the impact of renewable sources

L Grossi, F Nan - Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2019 - Elsevier
In this paper a robust approach to modeling electricity spot prices is introduced. Differently
from what has been recently done in the literature on electricity price forecasting, where the …

General Bayesian loss function selection and the use of improper models

J Jewson, D Rossell - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Statisticians often face the choice between using probability models or a paradigm defined
by minimising a loss function. Both approaches are useful and, if the loss can be re‐cast into …

The power of monitoring: how to make the most of a contaminated multivariate sample

A Cerioli, M Riani, AC Atkinson, A Corbellini - Statistical Methods & …, 2018 - Springer
Diagnostic tools must rely on robust high-breakdown methodologies to avoid distortion in
the presence of contamination by outliers. However, a disadvantage of having a single, even …

[PDF][PDF] On robust estimation of error variance in (highly) robust regression

J Kalina, J Tichavský - Measurement Science Review, 2020 - intapi.sciendo.com
The linear regression model requires robust estimation of parameters, if the measured data
are contaminated by outlying measurements (outliers). While a number of robust estimators …

Monitoring robust regression

M Riani, A Cerioli, AC Atkinson, D Perrotta - 2014 - projecteuclid.org
Monitoring robust regression Page 1 Electronic Journal of Statistics Vol. 8 (2014) 646–677
ISSN: 1935-7524 DOI: 10.1214/14-EJS897 Monitoring robust regression Marco Riani, Andrea …

[HTML][HTML] Strong consistency and robustness of the forward search estimator of multivariate location and scatter

A Cerioli, A Farcomeni, M Riani - Journal of Multivariate Analysis, 2014 - Elsevier
Abstract The Forward Search is a powerful general method for detecting anomalies in
structured data, whose diagnostic power has been shown in many statistical contexts …

[HTML][HTML] Robust regression with density power divergence: Theory, comparisons, and data analysis

M Riani, AC Atkinson, A Corbellini, D Perrotta - Entropy, 2020 - mdpi.com
Minimum density power divergence estimation provides a general framework for robust
statistics, depending on a parameter α, which determines the robustness properties of the …

Information criteria for outlier detection avoiding arbitrary significance levels

M Riani, AC Atkinson, A Corbellini, A Farcomeni… - Econometrics and …, 2024 - Elsevier
Abstract Information criteria for model choice are extended to the detection of outliers in
regression models. For deletion of observations (hard trimming) the family of models is …

[HTML][HTML] Robust fitting of a wrapped normal model to multivariate circular data and outlier detection

L Greco, G Saraceno, C Agostinelli - Stats, 2021 - mdpi.com
In this work, we deal with a robust fitting of a wrapped normal model to multivariate circular
data. Robust estimation is supposed to mitigate the adverse effects of outliers on inference …

[PDF][PDF] The robust estimation of monthly prices of goods traded by the European Union

D Perrotta, A Cerasa, F Torti, M Riani - URL: https://core. ac. uk …, 2020 - core.ac.uk
The general problem addressed in this document is the estimation of “fair” import prices from
international trade data. The work is in support to the determination of the customs value at …